TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes70c35,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No30c30,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0003951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c12,018$8,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.783,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.988545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes68c7,301$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.0610360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5505536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c4,610$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes71c3,000$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No30c2,818$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.45846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No15c2,238$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3752243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No30c2,020$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.1133349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No10c1,730$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.692,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No32c1,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.848245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No5c1,529$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.528636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes70c1,214$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.292065%13 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes67c1,062$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.561872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No34c1,055$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.641060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes67c1,005$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.758420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No30c999.42$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.236923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No21c965.31$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.898027.5%22 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No29c777$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.336949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes67c752$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.162737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2912336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No30c599.06$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No29c499.95$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9910332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes69c480$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No29c437.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.827939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No31c432.65$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8333847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c1…5cd1backed Yes71c406.25$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No25c375.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No4c355$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed No30c300$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+59.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked No13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3990%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes66c236.36$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3611536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes68c201$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.655030%15 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes70c200.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa16f…540abacked No30c198.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No29c196.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8613327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No9c193.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.495240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877e…d958backed No31c167.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1a…de99backed Yes72c166.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes71c154.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No34c152$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.681758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.53669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No35c149.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.520056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No35c145.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x205c…f554backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes70c124.73$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4233055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Yes70c113.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.784548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No13c98.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9611644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa58…daa8backed Yes70c95.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes70c92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.615459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf720…7251backed Yes70c91.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No32c88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1615846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff82…80d6backed Yes70c87.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.711421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No24c80.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1210143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes65c74.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.994052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce8…c1f4backed No33c69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…a631backed Yes67c67.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No31c65.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.332540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed No31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed No31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb43c…d732backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44e3…6472backed Yes70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No34c58.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013054.6%71 W · 59 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.141560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes70c56.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9414233.1%47 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No31c54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7418145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0837926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…ec0ebacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No32c46.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No30c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.236136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a1…34b2backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed No31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa305…d6f1backed Yes70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3153…0b1bbacked Yes67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked No31c33.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6a…1ec2backed Yes67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes70c32.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.863855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.