Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf0915e44e1373ba8674b71f0ce9d073c928828fdfcc2be2ca15becaec57fe40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pegulaof Pegula, Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Keys | 19c | 11,040$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.41 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Keys | 39c | 8,179$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.77 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pegula | 60c | 7,284$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.69 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pegula | 60c | 6,615$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Keys | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Keys | 40c | 4,375$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Keys | 39c | 4,249$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.72 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pegula | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.36 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Pegula | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pegula | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Keys | 28c | 3,907$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.4 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Pegula | 61c | 3,289$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.81 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Keys | 39c | 3,006$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.52 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pegula | 77c | 2,629$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Keys | 39c | 2,358$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.03 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pegula | 73c | 2,114$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.48 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Keys | 39c | 2,048$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.61 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Keys | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Pegula | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.98 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Keys | 40c | 1,472$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pegula | 71c | 1,166$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.07 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pegula | 62c | 1,041$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.68 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Pegula | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Keys | 38c | 990$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Keys | 25c | 984.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Keys | 21c | 909.6$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pegula | 77c | 817.8$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Keys | 40c | 773$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Pegula | 62c | 722.52$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…40c3backed Keys | 13c | 721.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pegula | 74c | 715.95$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Keys | 5c | 702.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Keys | 5c | 686.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Keys | 14c | 652.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Keys | 33c | 585.59$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Keys | 40c | 584$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Pegula | 61c | 557.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pegula | 75c | 528.34$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Pegula | 61c | 513$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Pegula | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Pegula | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pegula | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Pegula | 80c | 487.28$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Keys | 17c | 470.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Keys | 23c | 468.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Keys | 25c | 458.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Keys | 8c | 400$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Pegula | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Keys | 13c | 379.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Pegula | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Keys | 38c | 328.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Pegula | 62c | 282.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…06c0backed Pegula | 61c | 279.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Keys | 26c | 266.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Pegula | 59c | 263.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Keys | 24c | 250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Pegula | 61c | 244.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Keys | 40c | 244.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Keys | 41c | 241.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Keys | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…59ecbacked Keys | 36c | 230.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Keys | 40c | 222$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Keys | 40c | 207.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…928fbacked Keys | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pegula | 58c | 188.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Keys | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Pegula | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Pegula | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…3503backed Keys | 40c | 160.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Keys | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…a505backed Keys | 41c | 146.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Keys | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Pegula | 68c | 116.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…9431backed Pegula | 61c | 104.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Keys | 24c | 100.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5f5abacked Pegula | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…8f72backed Keys | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Keys | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Keys | 38c | 97.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Pegula | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Keys | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Pegula | 61c | 86.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Pegula | 60c | 85.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Keys | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Pegula | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Pegula | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pegula | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Keys | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Keys | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked Pegula | 61c | 71.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Pegula | 61c | 66.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pegula | 60c | 66.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Keys | 39c | 64.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Pegula | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…0e20backed Keys | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Keys | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf881…f259backed Keys | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Keys | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Pegula | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Pegula | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.