Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3045f8473c5bf9e1ebdeba88b050c4e5d1212543cc5a6cb1ada33b175f7b7d72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc480…0caabacked PARIVISION | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…7c29backed Team Falcons | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION | 42c | 14,313$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,373.03 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 56c | 11,087$6,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.79 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 10,425$7,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.87 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed PARIVISION | 41c | 7,664$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,529.75 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 7,268$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.96 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed PARIVISION | 49c | 6,486$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.05 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 6,167$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION | 67c | 5,470$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.06 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION | 42c | 5,459$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.39 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.95 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 4,971$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.15 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,899$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.22 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9981backed PARIVISION | 41c | 4,400$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Team Falcons | 20c | 4,206$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed PARIVISION | 40c | 4,148$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed PARIVISION | 41c | 4,037$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.05 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,832$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.35 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 3,690$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.82 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed PARIVISION | 42c | 3,266$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.06 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Team Falcons | 34c | 2,970$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked PARIVISION | 48c | 2,941$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.99 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Team Falcons | 33c | 2,930$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.55 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,844$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.01 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,771$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.39 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 2,424$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.49 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed PARIVISION | 66c | 2,388$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.93 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,244$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.64 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa10…0570backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,052$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…9bd6backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,015$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…502fbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,974$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.17 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 1,945$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.04 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,915$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.85 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…0408backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,905$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed PARIVISION | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,863$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.06 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Team Falcons | 8c | 1,700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed PARIVISION | 41c | 1,665$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.35 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 1,642$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,623$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…2d66backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,577$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 41c | 1,563$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.03 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 1,560$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.03 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked PARIVISION | 40c | 1,468$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.98 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,450$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,450$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,441$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.05 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,429$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.37 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,311$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.93 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 1,236$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,200$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.52 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…fa26backed PARIVISION | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,143$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.84 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,113$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,097$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.32 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,092$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.57 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,077$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.6 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,020$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.22 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,005$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.38 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed PARIVISION | 40c | 966.15$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.64 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Falcons | 35c | 932.04$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Team Falcons | 33c | 907.26$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION | 67c | 891.18$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.09 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 59c | 848$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Falcons | 48c | 800$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 760$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 757.46$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed PARIVISION | 42c | 754.77$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.27 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed PARIVISION | 41c | 749.76$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 743.21$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.23 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Team Falcons | 57c | 711.3$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…c345backed Team Falcons | 58c | 699.97$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 640$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 48c | 618.85$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons | 21c | 615.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Team Falcons | 67c | 605.34$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed PARIVISION | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 30c | 599.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed PARIVISION | 45c | 583.82$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed PARIVISION | 41c | 581$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked PARIVISION | 42c | 571.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.35 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed PARIVISION | 54c | 552.21$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed PARIVISION | 39c | 549.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.98 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Team Falcons | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.