Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc81b809f712b5384aef827dda313b7e527f952c07993bc2149a960186a2ff7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed PARIVISION | 46c | 9,791$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.91 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 7,073$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.59 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 5,777$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.25 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 5,010$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 4,553$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.3 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 4,358$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.33 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Falcons | 50c | 4,156$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.13 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed PARIVISION | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 3,335$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.3 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Team Falcons | 3c | 2,600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION | 52c | 2,455$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.95 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,406$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.12 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Team Falcons | 3c | 2,300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…f8b8backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,990$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 1,934$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.29 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,853$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.67 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,777$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.36 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,751$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.53 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,633$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.45 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked PARIVISION | 45c | 1,525$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.78 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,517$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.09 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,474$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.1 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Team Falcons | 1c | 1,325$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.52 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,219$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.47 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 1,200$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,040$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,022$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.14 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,000$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 1,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Team Falcons | 18c | 899.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 50c | 883$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.5 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Falcons | 38c | 800$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.53 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Falcons | 40c | 714.1$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.77 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 48c | 654.59$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.39 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 49c | 622.62$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.53 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Falcons | 51c | 613.14$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.69 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 52c | 591.23$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.51 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 42c | 567.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Falcons | 36c | 563.14$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed PARIVISION | 61c | 542.21$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed PARIVISION | 65c | 532.31$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Falcons | 49c | 470.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.89 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Team Falcons | 45c | 381.6$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Falcons | 34c | 349.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 58c | 345.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 68c | 314.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Falcons | 65c | 307$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 303.25$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…1124backed Team Falcons | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 290.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 276.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…6964backed Team Falcons | 47c | 236.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 71c | 225.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…91b9backed Team Falcons | 59c | 225.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 37c | 219.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed PARIVISION | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…4f13backed Team Falcons | 54c | 215.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…27d0backed PARIVISION | 55c | 215.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 214.49$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Team Falcons | 54c | 201.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed PARIVISION | 65c | 200.52$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Team Falcons | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Falcons | 65c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Team Falcons | 15c | 197.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION | 47c | 177.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION | 48c | 169.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked PARIVISION | 63c | 167.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Falcons | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 53c | 135.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7b…b6cbbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 135.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Team Falcons | 69c | 133.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Team Falcons | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 123.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 112.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked PARIVISION | 43c | 111.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed PARIVISION | 36c | 109.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed PARIVISION | 51c | 107.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…6962backed Team Falcons | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Falcons | 39c | 104.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…b4dcbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed PARIVISION | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed PARIVISION | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed PARIVISION | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 99.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 90.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Falcons | 56c | 85.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Team Falcons | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.