Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7842f7961692b043be69073e1c6c5d2dc058e2bf3a2f934e9412897f16602f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 11,296$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.18 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Falcons | 49c | 10,122$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.89 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 8,940$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.89 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 6,502$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.99 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.87 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 5,749$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.73 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Falcons | 46c | 5,315$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.35 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 44c | 4,628$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 4,503$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.46 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 3,775$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.02 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 54c | 3,767$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.87 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Falcons | 46c | 3,406$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.27 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,284$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.35 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,174$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.65 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Team Falcons | 3c | 2,600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed PARIVISION | 43c | 2,258$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.37 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed PARIVISION | 45c | 2,177$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.3 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,102$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.64 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 2,067$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.1 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,048$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Team Falcons | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,959$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,803$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Team Falcons | 3c | 1,800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…fcd6backed Team Falcons | 3c | 1,700$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…e6eebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,462$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,395$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,354$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.01 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,350$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,333$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.4 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed PARIVISION | 42c | 1,114$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.16 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.41 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,059$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.63 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 41c | 1,035$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.84 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,000$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Falcons | 56c | 958.55$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.79 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 919$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.87 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Falcons | 67c | 910.33$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 55c | 876.39$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.05 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 730.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.23 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 58c | 603.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 564.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed PARIVISION | 49c | 507.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 50c | 506.67$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Team Falcons | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed PARIVISION | 43c | 466.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.15 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…6d6abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 455.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 455.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 44c | 454.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed PARIVISION | 36c | 450$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Team Falcons | 44c | 441.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 46c | 437.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION | 43c | 426.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.85 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked PARIVISION | 42c | 400.29$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Falcons | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 400$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed PARIVISION | 37c | 370$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Team Falcons | 53c | 361.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed PARIVISION | 49c | 360.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Team Falcons | 46c | 327.35$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 320.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked PARIVISION | 53c | 316.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.19 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Falcons | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 299$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed PARIVISION | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed PARIVISION | 26c | 277.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked PARIVISION | 27c | 263.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed PARIVISION | 60c | 250.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Team Falcons | 65c | 249.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…6962backed Team Falcons | 53c | 223.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…3facbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Falcons | 56c | 214.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Falcons | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 198.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6751…0d8abacked PARIVISION | 42c | 196.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 192.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 189.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Team Falcons | 46c | 187.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…c415backed PARIVISION | 54c | 183.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed PARIVISION | 63c | 176.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…9c30backed PARIVISION | 56c | 175.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…91b9backed Team Falcons | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 160.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed PARIVISION | 59c | 139.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 125.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Team Falcons | 59c | 125.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.