TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x74cd…71e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST4045%18 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-25.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88%+$17.59
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Heat vs. Nets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$57.66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$7.9
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.44
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$6.77
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+280.4%+$64.5
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$5.68
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+515.9%+$79.38
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.7
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$33.76
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48.2
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$196.04
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+57.5%+$223.69
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.16
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-57.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$49.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$118.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$433.12
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$312.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$170.54
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$47.86
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$633.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$18.78
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34.1
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$25.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+30.6%+$4.59
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+67.5%+$16.88
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-49.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+98%+$15.68
Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.9%+$10.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$392.31
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.2%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.8%+$5.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$4.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.