NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa756ea69a8357107bf71833729fd5302e731f8b3e9a8ac42c28d0835ff5ff46c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 54c | 18,290$9,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,454.93 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 8,202$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 51c | 5,290$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 4,484$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.67 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 47c | 3,844$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.47 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 52c | 3,825$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 53c | 3,695$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.85 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,685$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.79 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…ad22backed Under | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…5973backed Under | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 53c | 1,363$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.45 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 1,284$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.68 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 46c | 1,034$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.64 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 47c | 772$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.84 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Under | 52c | 744.23$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 55c | 600.5$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 52c | 583.85$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 492.06$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 478.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 398.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 49c | 368.8$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 47c | 338$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 51c | 289.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…a9cabacked Under | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 232.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 222.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 46c | 183.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 42c | 164$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Under | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 146.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 140.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 46c | 128.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Over | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 31.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 50c | 26.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 26.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…b648backed Over | 66c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5this page
- Rockets vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.