NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b8b704fff61da92743ea0113bd393a30af133f04bd0007ee8ad3231fa1d61f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 50c | 13,875$6,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,895.59 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,858$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.21 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,920$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Under | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 1,100$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 49c | 874.39$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.45 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 603$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 385.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 364$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 46c | 327$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 49c | 262.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 235$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 48c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 53c | 88.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Under | 49c | 87.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 49c | 84.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…fc05backed Under | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 66.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 64c | 65.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 50c | 38.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…bf10backed Over | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…5017backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…d231backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5this page
- Rockets vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.