NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa46dd400c18103352989ed40c3f882229426d9dc4ef673e692b15ff5231105e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc779…25f6backed Under | 50c | 9,278$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 55c | 9,136$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…01a3backed Under | 49c | 8,429$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 5,638$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 5,514$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 47c | 4,024$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.5 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba7…1bc2backed Under | 49c | 1,514$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 51c | 1,429$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.73 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 57c | 471.16$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 122.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Over | 57c | 102.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…62f4backed Over | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- Rockets vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.