NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa785f16f0b198d09393828b5ecc4ac0dc53570afebeaa626c92ac92c0e041e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Rockets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets | 52c | 53,316$27,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,713.98 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Pelicans | 49c | 16,548$8,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,494.46 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 50c | 9,952$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.24 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…8eacbacked Pelicans | 49c | 9,800$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…7549backed Rockets | 51c | 9,800$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 51c | 9,796$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.06 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 48c | 8,921$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Pelicans | 50c | 7,927$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.46 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Rockets | 52c | 7,500$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.41 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 50c | 6,341$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.22 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pelicans | 49c | 4,942$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.47 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,133$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.64 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Rockets | 57c | 3,550$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Pelicans | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pelicans | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rockets | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.12 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,808$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Pelicans | 48c | 2,700$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Rockets | 51c | 1,784$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,627$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.5 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 38c | 1,587$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,094$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.74 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 32c | 995.55$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.97 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 50c | 922$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 47c | 877$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.81 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Rockets | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 49c | 778.84$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.23 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rockets | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 49c | 544.36$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 526.25$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Rockets | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Pelicans | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 49c | 496.08$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Rockets | 50c | 436$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 50c | 413.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…edeabacked Pelicans | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…f005backed Rockets | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…9f6fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 387$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…5b00backed Rockets | 50c | 387$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rockets | 49c | 338.9$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Rockets | 8c | 338.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Pelicans | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rockets | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…1046backed Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Rockets | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Rockets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 193.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 192.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 43c | 184$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 48c | 172.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 43c | 163.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Pelicans | 43c | 150.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets | 42c | 141.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…4c5ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Rockets | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Pelicans | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…b4b5backed Rockets | 51c | 113.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pelicans | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Rockets | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Pelicans | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pelicans | 60c | 98.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6d…964abacked Pelicans | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Pelicans | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e722backed Rockets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 50c | 54.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Rockets | 50c | 51.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Rockets | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Rockets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Rockets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rockets | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…62f4backed Rockets | 51c | 40.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 43c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Rockets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Rockets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Rockets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Rockets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…05ecbacked Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Rockets | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…4b51backed Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Rockets | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Pelicans | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)this page
- Rockets vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.