TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$927,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$936,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 656 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes62c240,687$148,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,768.149146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No38c199,999$76,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,999.563522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No38c187,491$72,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,337.038241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes62c150,349$93,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,21312848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes62c83,197$51,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,582.442045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No39c79,281$30,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,705.835360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c56,849$34,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,691.3429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No39c54,893$21,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,583.052250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked No38c47,558$18,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,486.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes60c40,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0004459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes61c37,750$23,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,027.57060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No38c25,377$9,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,741.439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c22,802$9,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,255.332,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No39c19,748$7,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,997.5317852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes62c19,500$12,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0902626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No55c15,260$8,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,871.067052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No38c15,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes61c15,000$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,149.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No39c15,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,149.941464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick33cpaid+60.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No38c14,850$5,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,157.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No40c12,574$5,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,544.679857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No39c11,111$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,777.7113843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No52c10,574$5,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,091.1414952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2004158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes60c9,848$5,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9095740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No55c9,191$5,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.7338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes49c8,853$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.9116136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…6cf0backed Yes53c8,015$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes60c7,500$4,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,506.665040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Yes62c7,500$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6205048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No39c6,507$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.1823247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No38c6,200$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.9629136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes62c5,969$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.622835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No39c5,880$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.952250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No40c5,146$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.4910051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10010232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3c…9650backed Yes58c4,740$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes63c4,203$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6481250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5090…1173backed Yes59c4,185$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.892025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No38c3,526$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.063050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf3…213abacked Yes61c3,277$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No57c3,125$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.7917348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8604744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No40c2,994$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.151421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No38c2,954$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.2638048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No40c2,915$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9817853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No38c2,800$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72311649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No38c2,605$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.278241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No40c2,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.15038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes7c2,524$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.669336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8626…76d9backed Yes62c2,487$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No73c2,129$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.5320343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1319…cf06backed Yes60c2,090$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2541070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No39c2,033$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.136955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62020948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d1…12b4backed Yes58c1,981$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No38c1,970$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.1319453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8151…fd93backed Yes31c1,932$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c7…1db7backed No38c1,800$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No58c1,720$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.3921037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…09bcbacked No39c1,700$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+83.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f9b…4193backed Yes62c1,668$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eae…fbaebacked No38c1,666$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes61c1,650$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.55056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528c…80b2backed Yes62c1,629$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002080%16 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6339…a0c9backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ba…5e96backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No39c1,576$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.361747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c1,566$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.3738935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No59c1,505$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ccc…78dcbacked Yes62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93050%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66cc…d87abacked No38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes61c1,475$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No40c1,464$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.48231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d33…489fbacked Yes62c1,452$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8c…046fbacked Yes62c1,400$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed No51c1,360$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85dc…2334backed Yes53c1,338$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes61c1,311$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Yes43c1,286$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No66c1,264$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.858643%37 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes62c1,260$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b6…6717backed Yes62c1,227$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a71…49bcbacked Yes61c1,184$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No39c1,164$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.366251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb8…4b3bbacked Yes60c1,151$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…7f06backed Yes62c1,149$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa3…df6ebacked Yes44c1,136$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27db…5897backed Yes62c1,129$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No39c1,111$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.7639746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ee…344bbacked Yes62c1,100$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Yes21c1,100$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23160%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No39c1,079$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.198848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Yes61c1,050$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes62c1,048$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.688051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.