TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes19c30,000$5,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,303.378740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No60c16,888$10,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,049.055360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes39c8,518$3,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,196.0817048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes40c7,179$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,291.649336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes19c5,652$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600.0917852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes19c5,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.074936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes18c3,259$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.4729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c3,050$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c3,005$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.991,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes18c3,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes45c2,842$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.9616136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c2,685$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.6429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No67c2,662$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.5412147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes19c2,322$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.116955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No63c2,055$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.1138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.991560%9 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed No66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No80c1,843$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.8238048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No24c1,658$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8814952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked No62c1,544$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.1666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes17c1,528$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.248848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes39c1,518$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.720948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9921037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…91dabacked Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.59825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes17c1,402$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.6410051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes18c1,391$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.322540%10 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c1,309$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9931,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes19c1,200$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9744030%12 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No60c1,200$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.9824742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No39c1,155$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.955628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.112326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No62c1,042$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1429142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked No61c958$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27db…5897backed Yes60c950$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes19c930.63$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.812938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes75c800.27$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.273959%23 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No59c789.99$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.091770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No61c674$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9438935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed No67c656.72$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes40c651.03$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.032948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes62c609.19$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3320343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes20c600.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.317426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes68c585.7$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed No60c543.69$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+199.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No57c526.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.321353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff1…f463backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.323520%7 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf47…326fbacked Yes39c518.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.422040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40013534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed No61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes18c499.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes19c499.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.994944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes35c499.39$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.391625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes39c498.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.635851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a7…d725backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+133.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad4f…b0bcbacked Yes75c405.96$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b4…58c9backed Yes19c405.26$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.261546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes18c403$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.4613238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked No60c383.03$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.82128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-84.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes18c382.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.3713927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Yes60c374.98$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.881546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked No69c350$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.031741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes18c350$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2873016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes17c350$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.59040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No46c339.35$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.14740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x820a…922dbacked No39c338.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No61c328.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No49c316.1$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0314044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked No67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c297$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0322147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes34c273.53$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.532030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No50c266.58$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.294228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.97240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4997…2fc3backed Yes70c222.86$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked No46c218.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5910931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1646839.7%27 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13625450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1642944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1644242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes72c193.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.117659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No6c185.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1410137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes19c180$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca17…3682backed Yes74c177.69$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969b…7f79backed Yes70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d27…c460backed Yes18c150$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+186.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No79c140$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.68652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.894045%18 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd728…9828backed Yes19c130$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4451…9f03backed Yes52c115.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.118643%37 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.114843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.111323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed No68c110.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No80c108.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879160.4%55 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.