Champions League · resolved market
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee3305e8c31ffc7122db03f98dce9ee30e2b05285abaa5ee71f14e1f35d52a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 22c | 11,000$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.54 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 75c | 10,531$7,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.92 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 4,673$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.6 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 78c | 3,594$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.7 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 1,774$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.06 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,730$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.45 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,247$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.63 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…0e59backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 70c | 880.82$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 869.81$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 838$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 814.6$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.39 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bb97backed Yes | 30c | 676.86$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 79c | 571.9$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 30c | 496.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed Yes | 34c | 463.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…f8d6backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 438.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 349.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 31c | 322.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 22c | 318.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 234.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 32c | 220.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 68c | 208.03$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 27c | 203.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 27c | 181.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 181$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…7686backed Yes | 21c | 114.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…0a42backed Yes | 35c | 100.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…08f7backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…9cc0backed Yes | 24c | 81.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Yes | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…769fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f9b9backed Yes | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…40b6backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 80c | 45.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…ddfebacked Yes | 27c | 45.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 24c | 44.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…0da6backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 80c | 26.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.