TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f67…55bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Chess, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Chess at 55 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST3754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+70.6%+$43.76
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$45.86
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+57.9%+$98.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$127
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$20.43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$39.81
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.87
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$69.41
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+64%+$22.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$82.86
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$53.69
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$39.16
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+39%+$80.41
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$53.61
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+82.6%+$142.97
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$42.63
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+164.3%+$23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$15.21
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$30.59
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$41.56
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.11
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$7.01
All 18 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$31.14
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$52.25
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.39
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$49.64
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+64.9%+$112.92
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$24.89
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+176.5%+$75.36
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nepomniachtchi vs. Keymer backed Keymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+139.2%+$34.81
Will Magnus Carlsen score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+91.2%+$13.68
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+137.9%+$51.32
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+178.9%+$290.7
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+270.1%+$102.63
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$6.4
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$31.46
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$19.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+451.8%+$180.71
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$143
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$14.9
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "M3GAN 2.0" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+203%+$55.41
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $77m and 82m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+236.1%+$25.97
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+52.6%+$23.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$139
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+71%+$50.43
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9.67
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.98
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$29.88
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$28.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$13.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+45.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.8%+$115.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.