Premier League · resolved market
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f300bfb185812fd6138233600aa524d2c73e7b0e14a743087ae4c757886e55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 43c | 1,343$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.38 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 30c | 959.92$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.09 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 924.25$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 43c | 704.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.3 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 663.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 56c | 437.24$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 20c | 362.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 283.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 222$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 43c | 176$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 42c | 147.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 43c | 115.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 57c | 99.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 58c | 47.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 33c | 31.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked Yes | 70c | 28.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf409…8208backed Yes | 45c | 22.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x148d…9001backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-11-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.