TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc20b…ba2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.12
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$19.97
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.7%+$6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$33.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$39.15
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$29.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$17.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$17.75
Will Qairat FK vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43.37
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.95
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.14
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$39.47
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekicbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.6
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$11.93
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.63
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Royer vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.17
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Guangzhou Open: Xiyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$33
Swiss Indoors Basel: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jiri Leheckabacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$16.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+76.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Fresno State vs. Boise Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$42
Louisiana vs. South Alabamabacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+98.8%+$9.96
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$9.54
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$27.32
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.23
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.23
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$4.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient vs. FC Metz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+70.8%+$17.49
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$51.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FORZE Reload (BO3)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.4%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.9%+$10.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.