South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31bfef32579befe176b3153f4afcfe5e8b7b13d770bab1f91ab4fe6958eabf3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 50,000$22,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,900 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 47c | 29,100$13,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,677.04 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 69c | 19,425$13,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,403.39 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 2,389$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.86 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 1,922$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 73c | 1,759$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 39c | 1,276$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.94 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 866.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 667.34$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.43 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 22c | 467.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb93…c283backed Yes | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…7a15backed Yes | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…1551backed Yes | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 30c | 337.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 14c | 210$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…abe6backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…1e40backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…10d5backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…1766backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…fe08backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…d376backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…985bbacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…1becbacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2419…2b28backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…49ebbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 47c | 97.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 46c | 67.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…eeb0backed Yes | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed Yes | 32c | 59.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…f6f0backed Yes | 71c | 54.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Yes | 73c | 40.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 30c | 33.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Yes | 47c | 32.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-21?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.