South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7b297317fa4824b0719548119a93af93e5fcc59728953e46914a5cfbe084650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefe8…7efabacked Yes | 27c | 7,410$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…e239backed Yes | 27c | 6,303$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…9597backed No | 73c | 5,889$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cde…8ec2backed No | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4153…8828backed No | 73c | 4,084$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…34aabacked Yes | 27c | 3,710$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…8d45backed No | 73c | 3,152$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…42febacked No | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7947…3781backed Yes | 27c | 2,600$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 75c | 710$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 25c | 700$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 554$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.24 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 19c | 226.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.42 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 171.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 148.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 136.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 66.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…d7f0backed Yes | 23c | 59.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-21?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.