South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6384f2c082bfdeab0dc33bb37943ecd479dffd8beea2452dd1cca4cb6f726a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 31c | 2,920$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.35 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 39c | 2,542$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.36 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed No | 74c | 1,667$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed Yes | 26c | 1,665$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 1,465$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.31 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 955.18$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.11 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…6041backed Yes | 74c | 945.95$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…49ebbacked Yes | 78c | 562.81$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 28c | 416.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 64c | 261.89$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 205$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 131.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 70c | 128.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 71c | 108.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 77c | 77.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…2d33backed Yes | 74c | 70.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed No | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2a…c016backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f8dabacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.