Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Veronika Erjavec
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77fc52d25248c7fa109c7294fd9839c2eeb40602c484d05055bd81649a49279c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhangof Zhang, Erjavec
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Erjavec | 21c | 30,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Zhang | 79c | 29,510$23,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.18 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Erjavec | 0c | 10,302$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Erjavec | 34c | 6,048$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.42 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhang | 62c | 4,252$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Erjavec | 21c | 3,613$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.67 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Erjavec | 47c | 2,867$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.13 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zhang | 79c | 2,066$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.99 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Erjavec | 23c | 1,929$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.03 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zhang | 50c | 1,132$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.42 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Erjavec | 75c | 1,050$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zhang | 79c | 781.91$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Erjavec | 16c | 724.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Erjavec | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Erjavec | 18c | 552.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Erjavec | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Erjavec | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…8c93backed Erjavec | 49c | 475.49$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Erjavec | 29c | 370.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…9450backed Erjavec | 58c | 334.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Erjavec | 19c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…c927backed Erjavec | 41c | 248.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6b69backed Zhang | 74c | 222.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Zhang | 79c | 179.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…e46bbacked Erjavec | 60c | 178.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Erjavec | 57c | 172.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zhang | 41c | 162.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…72bebacked Zhang | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked Erjavec | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Erjavec | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Erjavec | 23c | 118.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…d5adbacked Erjavec | 42c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Erjavec | 19c | 109.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9fbbbacked Erjavec | 18c | 108.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…4207backed Zhang | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Erjavec | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Erjavec | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Erjavec | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Zhang | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Erjavec | 45c | 76.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…e657backed Zhang | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…5b71backed Zhang | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Zhang | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…b8c9backed Zhang | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Erjavec | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…a277backed Erjavec | 52c | 48.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…33f4backed Erjavec | 54c | 47.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c5…8cadbacked Erjavec | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Erjavec | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Zhang | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93e…f83ebacked Erjavec | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…bec1backed Zhang | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Zhang | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.