TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Panthers, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$513,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$524,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks43c92,707$39,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,152.731,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Ducks41c60,441$24,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,66021652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers59c57,229$33,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,765.0888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks35c50,000$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,50042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Panthers59c49,518$29,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,188.6641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Panthers49c46,167$22,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,492.131,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Ducks41c36,606$15,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,597.523339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Panthers58c34,021$19,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,851.515953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Panthers73c23,404$17,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,043.7310565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Ducks41c19,989$8,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,793.7810050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks73c19,453$14,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,330.5761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Panthers53c18,965$10,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,118.7413449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Panthers57c15,691$8,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,912.3836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers59c13,562$8,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,048.9457453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers34c9,917$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.31,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Panthers59c9,551$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,604.830848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Ducks68c9,212$6,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.841090%9 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Panthers59c9,110$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,374.858453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers56c8,995$5,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.270547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Panthers30c8,900$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6702147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6622…2e2cbacked Ducks70c8,900$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6701100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks43c8,555$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,846.351,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Ducks40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.945448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Panthers56c7,970$4,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,463.0930944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Ducks79c6,717$5,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.771656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks42c6,527$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.3663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Ducks44c6,500$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.9929651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers59c5,500$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Panthers60c5,003$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Ducks42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Panthers59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.965446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Panthers34c4,793$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.6385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Panthers33c3,583$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.548746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks42c3,491$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.781,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Ducks42c3,000$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74511946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x792c…4431backed Ducks44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Panthers59c2,776$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.841,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers46c2,746$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers61c2,576$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.911,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Panthers59c2,550$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.483053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Ducks42c2,518$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.0387447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers35c2,495$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.2999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Panthers57c2,310$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.720147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Panthers59c2,302$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.5637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Ducks43c2,250$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks42c2,220$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.3969550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Ducks68c2,176$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.3210158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Ducks32c2,110$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.7527143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3041…8085backed Panthers58c2,100$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Panthers10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers61c1,927$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.673,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks40c1,900$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks41c1,889$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.8551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers58c1,750$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.141,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Panthers59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…9fefbacked Ducks42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Panthers4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Panthers58c1,471$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.2410356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x734d…b810backed Panthers58c1,379$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…a324backed Ducks41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ducks68c1,188$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.482,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e48…c23bbacked Panthers9c1,178$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.575420.4%11 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Panthers39c1,140$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.169949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Panthers1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ducks59c1,080$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.4713251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed Panthers41c1,069$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0614053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f6…0b51backed Panthers76c1,055$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87de…75dbbacked Ducks28c1,045$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Panthers59c1,039$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.015350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Panthers60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Panthers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed Ducks41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed Panthers58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Ducks42c950$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55120144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Panthers58c947.71$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.0462249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Ducks68c934$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3452172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Ducks42c918$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.447152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Panthers56c886.5$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.4442847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961d…3f6ebacked Ducks43c878$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f7…254bbacked Panthers57c877$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…e591backed Panthers57c870$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Panthers41c869.2$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53f…101cbacked Ducks43c869$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Ducks42c833.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.3323047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…a59cbacked Panthers59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers58c750$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ducks41c740.44$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.862,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks42c740$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.241248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Ducks41c699$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.411553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…ef25backed Panthers58c694.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa13e…7448backed Panthers57c682$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.741464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c59…7e7fbacked Ducks44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers52c674.46$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.521,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e9…5e83backed Panthers60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers58c653$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.991,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe997…1922backed Panthers32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006942%29 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Panthers59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35435349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.