TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95f6…0b51

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Earnings, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,797.1
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,153
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$780
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$1,452.27
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,312.24
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$76,238.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23,415Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$45,452.69
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$387.69
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+111.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$99
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$940
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Canucks vs. Penguinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+270.5%+$1,420.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$305
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+118.3%+$2,129.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+80.4%+$120.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.