NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde595a41749dffe5b5631a1d1e9b1c8d7ad1c5c92c31b73470f1ed13c0af334b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Kraken, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $811,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Kraken | 30c | 605,866$181,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,413.95 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Capitals | 70c | 76,029$53,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,782 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Capitals | 70c | 66,000$46,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Capitals | 71c | 64,722$45,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,091.6 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 16c | 60,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Capitals | 70c | 52,540$36,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,762 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Capitals | 70c | 52,281$36,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,684.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Capitals | 70c | 50,200$35,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,060 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Capitals | 70c | 36,896$25,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,107.41 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Capitals | 70c | 24,015$16,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,208.79 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Capitals | 70c | 22,257$15,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,677.07 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Capitals | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Capitals | 70c | 19,516$13,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 70c | 17,221$12,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.45 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Capitals | 70c | 15,581$10,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Capitals | 70c | 14,101$9,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Capitals | 70c | 12,857$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Capitals | 70c | 10,392$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.71 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Capitals | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 70c | 7,241$5,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.3 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 30c | 6,740$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.04 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 70c | 6,648$4,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.98 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 70c | 5,675$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.52 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Kraken | 32c | 5,355$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 70c | 5,084$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.11 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Capitals | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 29c | 4,555$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.08 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ce43backed Capitals | 70c | 4,527$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Capitals | 69c | 4,516$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.01 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Capitals | 70c | 3,320$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 29c | 3,040$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.47 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Capitals | 66c | 3,004$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.4 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Capitals | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 71c | 3,000$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.23 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 69c | 2,944$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.46 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kraken | 0c | 2,865$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Capitals | 70c | 2,850$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Capitals | 70c | 2,829$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.57 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 70c | 2,591$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.35 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Capitals | 70c | 2,543$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.86 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kraken | 1c | 2,369$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Capitals | 70c | 2,242$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 63cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Capitals | 71c | 2,029$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 32c | 2,004$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Capitals | 70c | 2,004$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.07 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Capitals | 70c | 1,967$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Kraken | 2c | 1,810$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Capitals | 70c | 1,622$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…57e6backed Kraken | 32c | 1,620$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…296dbacked Capitals | 70c | 1,620$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Capitals | 68c | 1,545$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.4 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Kraken | 30c | 1,485$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Capitals | 70c | 1,482$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Capitals | 70c | 1,435$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.57 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Capitals | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Capitals | 70c | 1,320$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals | 70c | 1,313$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.77 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Capitals | 70c | 1,260$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 69c | 1,233$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.69 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 30c | 1,160$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Kraken | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Capitals | 70c | 1,129$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.63 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Kraken | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…29e1backed Capitals | 70c | 971.43$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…a1e6backed Kraken | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…0b51backed Kraken | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…e956backed Capitals | 70c | 967$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6737…2e6abacked Kraken | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…f57dbacked Capitals | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kraken | 28c | 779.2$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.81 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 68c | 747.22$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Capitals | 70c | 730$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Capitals | 70c | 684$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 70c | 676.01$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…f3c0backed Kraken | 31c | 645.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Capitals | 70c | 645.8$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 70c | 612$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 30c | 610.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Capitals | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kraken | 3c | 581.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 71c | 558$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Kraken | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Capitals | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Capitals | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Kraken | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Kraken | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 4c | 481.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…a1b3backed Capitals | 76c | 427.01$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Capitals | 70c | 368.37$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Capitals | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Kraken | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Capitals | 71c | 332$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Kraken | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Kraken | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 60c | 317.63$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Kraken | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed Capitals | 70c | 302.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Kraken | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Capitalsthis page
- Kraken vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.