TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x751d…29e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Earnings at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,453.91
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,708
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$15.52
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$257.58
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+43.1%+$5,214.35
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,127.66
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$384.31
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$195
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,210
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$700
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$145.38
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$291.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$316
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$987.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.