TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Nets, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,344,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,636,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,344,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 968 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5afb…4511backed Nets37c1,272,381$465,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465,466.415540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Hornets63c438,325$276,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,180.3915443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Hornets64c203,221$130,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,193.947255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Hornets64c150,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,0008333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Hornets63c130,000$82,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,6508843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets15c120,000$18,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,52038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Hornets79c63,421$49,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,536.1619249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fc…2c31backed Nets36c54,955$19,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,783.791729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Hornets63c54,444$34,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,144.283348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Hornets64c47,781$30,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,174.4771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets3c46,034$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.031,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets64c45,166$29,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,088.722,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets64c41,882$26,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,938.71,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Hornets64c24,629$15,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,865.195149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Hornets64c22,425$14,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0735942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Hornets64c21,606$13,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,777.9811558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed Hornets64c21,054$13,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,579.44875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hornets69c20,359$14,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,314.2885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Hornets64c15,132$9,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447.527354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Nets7c11,048$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.665339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets63c11,000$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0702,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets11c10,483$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.921,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Nets36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Hornets64c9,705$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.8236148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Hornets64c9,398$6,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.2825847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Hornets64c8,240$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.5526753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets1c8,188$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.428783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Nets22c6,435$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.7941848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Hornets64c5,785$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.9912160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Nets35c5,573$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.432,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Nets8c5,524$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.473053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets1c5,153$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.687211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Nets36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Nets36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8007939.2%31 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hornets63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.9835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets64c4,093$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.621,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets35c4,081$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.682,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Hornets64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699e…55bcbacked Nets15c3,190$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hornets63c3,146$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.4695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Hornets65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Nets3c3,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets65c3,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.341,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Nets35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets36c2,880$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.852,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Hornets63c2,764$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.697342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Hornets64c2,749$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.595556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets63c2,722$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Nets37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Hornets63c2,249$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.074553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets6c2,080$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.483,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Nets35c2,048$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets37c2,009$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.471,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Nets25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets36c2,000$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.3375347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nets35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.979851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets64c1,956$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3173647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf51…4b53backed Hornets66c1,703$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.291546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41b6…d8debacked Hornets64c1,682$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.341250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec4f…a9babacked Nets36c1,680$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets74c1,639$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Hornets64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.510852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6372…dbebbacked Hornets65c1,535$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.38887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+98%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84d…9714backed Nets36c1,535$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Nets7c1,512$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Nets36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Hornets65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b1…2c46backed Hornets64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…a976backed Hornets70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45014248.6%69 W · 73 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Hornets65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5256636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed Nets35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Hornets64c1,426$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.184542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Nets35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1612143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Hornets64c1,362$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.8830053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Hornets63c1,361$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.122733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Hornets75c1,275$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.4713042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…8230backed Hornets64c1,219$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets72c1,196$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.2644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Hornets64c1,170$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.2519748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Hornets71c1,159$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7825836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751d…29e1backed Nets36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f6…0b51backed Hornets65c1,108$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62b…9d36backed Hornets64c1,081$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Hornets64c1,054$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Nets36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3607132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Hornets64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Hornets64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Nets37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Nets35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked Nets35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-69.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hornets63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37030947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Nets7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703511.4%4 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Hornets64c994$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Nets37c926.54$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8220434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets35c895.22$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Nets35c894.91$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb00…42e9backed Hornets65c853.85$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.854454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Nets30c842.96$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.935246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.