TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2cc0…d2d0backed Over49c15,803$7,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,059.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c5,393$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.072,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c2,394$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over51c1,769$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d9…b6ffbacked Under51c1,181$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.31850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa65…c869backed Under51c1,178$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51019448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x464c…5b77backed Under51c990$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d3…a6c6backed Under51c944$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.4460%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c58…dc05backed Under51c943$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.93450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6fa…fed1backed Under51c917$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae67…15a6backed Under51c857$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca1…a834backed Under51c792$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c45…92adbacked Under51c745$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3158…78b1backed Under51c738$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5323backed Under51c731$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74de…db8abacked Under51c634$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…a6f9backed Under51c582$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.821030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75a…2e51backed Under51c495$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb7…5f51backed Under51c471$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…bb29backed Under51c322$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Over50c295.44$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7930053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3aa…2ed1backed Under51c188$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8860%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Over50c171.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8147448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f4…7942backed Over50c106$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd798…b210backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb9…dfa7backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc943…7626backed Under51c94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…01f1backed Under51c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb32…3c6cbacked Under51c84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa544…e40fbacked Under51c77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d9…e50fbacked Under51c76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce8…9ea5backed Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x334a…db04backed Under51c69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1950%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c33…8279backed Under51c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.17825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97ff…e1dbbacked Under51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe43d…a201backed Under51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a34…b717backed Under51c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…3bedbacked Under51c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.091060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x015e…3954backed Under51c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5057…531abacked Under51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x455e…ecacbacked Under51c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ad…c966backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd4d…aea0backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…08f7backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c7…472fbacked Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…a4bdbacked Under51c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d3…3912backed Under51c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e43…e366backed Under51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a3…09a7backed Under51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x113a…1251backed Under51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.441127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe509…96adbacked Under51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf53f…174bbacked Under51c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21fc…fa60backed Under51c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x503b…4f98backed Under51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.42825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47b5…b3b2backed Under51c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92c…2e48backed Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d1…d5b0backed Under51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f1…6e8dbacked Under51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c71…6351backed Under51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe608…749cbacked Under51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8329…e118backed Under51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf458…c988backed Under51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd90c…acf0backed Under51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcde8…8b09backed Under51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x684b…0b72backed Under51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x20bf…8c39backed Under51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.341020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89ce…e647backed Under51c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…bd51backed Under51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b2…318cbacked Under51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b18…afacbacked Under51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6633…ea16backed Under51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x851b…08dcbacked Under52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d6…10d5backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557f…efa5backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3049…d596backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed8…42e1backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291f…6cf3backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c91…a39abacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d60…14b3backed Under51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f1…ef5dbacked Under51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffa…9f0ebacked Under51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.791118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44c1…a273backed Under51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…c9a5backed Under51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7780%0 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6982backed Under51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5af…7683backed Under51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36be…e8a7backed Under51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0cd…155cbacked Under51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x678c…c278backed Under51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af7…a0a3backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed30…f3b3backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Over48c25.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424f…99d6backed Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecb…3b01backed Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcb…b4babacked Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e0e…ce49backed Under51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc43…938ebacked Under51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x296b…7a1fbacked Under51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf7…3ff1backed Under51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.