TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2cc0…d2d0backed Over47c37,000$17,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6101266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f59…1176backed Over47c24,718$11,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,100.541464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe153…e415backed Under53c24,532$13,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,002.111560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Over47c6,612$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.362650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a6…7538backed Over47c4,700$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7878…d30bbacked Over47c3,577$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde8…8b09backed Over47c3,281$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.931361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45dc…92afbacked Over47c3,104$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…a4bdbacked Under53c3,035$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e8…18c6backed Under53c3,001$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…e366backed Under53c2,744$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d60…14b3backed Under53c2,688$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed8…42e1backed Under53c2,687$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.111050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4731…4e09backed Over47c2,666$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cd…155cbacked Under53c2,508$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6633…ea16backed Under53c2,506$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7586…e8f3backed Under53c2,463$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab3…e65ebacked Under53c2,442$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf171…20c7backed Under53c2,429$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.37825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79f1…6e8dbacked Under53c2,409$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.771346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…f402backed Under53c2,360$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6af7…a0a3backed Over47c2,353$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.091060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5671…6e56backed Under53c2,346$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+76.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0428…93f8backed Over47c2,329$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.374100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d14…3bedbacked Over47c2,213$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa544…e40fbacked Over47c2,192$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.76875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0e0…88e3backed Under53c2,085$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f28…ce03backed Over47c2,024$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x533c…9086backed Under53c2,011$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.83911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x503b…4f98backed Under53c2,008$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.24825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb7…5f51backed Over47c2,004$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb32…3c6cbacked Under53c1,970$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf869…6d20backed Over47c1,966$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…d6c1backed Under53c1,895$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc7…0874backed Under53c1,889$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac6…929bbacked Under53c1,875$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c40…9c3abacked Under53c1,863$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda8…bf52backed Under53c1,859$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.2770%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7124…948abacked Under53c1,857$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36be…e8a7backed Under53c1,856$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.681225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1253…9868backed Over47c1,821$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3529…6764backed Under53c1,749$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd47…44b9backed Over47c1,738$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.141060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd50…9109backed Over47c1,715$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x27d6…cfe7backed Under53c1,684$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.521050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe65…ced6backed Under53c1,626$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecb…3b01backed Over47c1,626$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.781040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc534…428abacked Under53c1,619$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed30…f3b3backed Under53c1,603$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.591118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7fcb…b4babacked Under53c1,595$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c33…8279backed Under53c1,584$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.52825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e4c…94ecbacked Under53c1,569$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x408d…2bccbacked Over47c1,566$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a78…bd69backed Over47c1,549$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e2…80c8backed Over47c1,537$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe859…61cebacked Under53c1,529$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4a3…09a7backed Under53c1,493$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc943…7626backed Over47c1,491$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a34…b717backed Under53c1,469$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ce…e647backed Under53c1,458$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x925e…fdf3backed Under53c1,447$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.91812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-74%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1d1…d5b0backed Under53c1,428$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c0…517ebacked Over47c1,424$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92c…2e48backed Under53c1,412$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf9…6927backed Under53c1,398$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdf…cc39backed Over47c1,397$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.411040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe81…6c33backed Under53c1,396$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf34…d146backed Under53c1,396$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2289…81d1backed Under53c1,392$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b37…4e5abacked Under53c1,389$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.171145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b18…afacbacked Under53c1,370$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe51…cfc7backed Under53c1,343$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa9…f37ebacked Under53c1,340$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20bf…8c39backed Under53c1,335$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.551020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda0c…af73backed Under53c1,334$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.021040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21fc…fa60backed Under53c1,328$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…1e67backed Over47c1,323$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f0…bc6bbacked Under53c1,323$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ff…3791backed Under53c1,323$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.1940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb61…9488backed Over47c1,319$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8329…e118backed Over47c1,307$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d9…b6ffbacked Over47c1,302$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x464c…5b77backed Under53c1,288$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f1…6fa7backed Under53c1,278$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d9…e50fbacked Over47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b55…3141backed Over47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.811030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca81…91c7backed Over47c1,263$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8844…5adbbacked Under53c1,254$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x296b…7a1fbacked Under53c1,254$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522d…c0dcbacked Under53c1,254$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…431ebacked Under53c1,241$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.73944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…01f1backed Over47c1,224$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.721163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b6…4c57backed Under53c1,222$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81b…a52bbacked Over47c1,214$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.421050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff5…40a2backed Under53c1,214$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ad…2e85backed Under53c1,188$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…bd51backed Under53c1,185$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4af…1fa6backed Over47c1,174$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb690…8efbbacked Over47c1,146$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.381070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb5f…303abacked Under53c1,125$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.