MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa95cbda893d52cde50ac9cbb53833bbfdffc03c91be41ccd810765cb4cd34b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,616,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,660,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,616,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 751 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Mariners | 55c | 1,818,512$1,000,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000,181.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 1,528,665$688,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839,979.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mariners | 55c | 1,210,000$665,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665,499.98 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 45c | 526,053$238,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287,835.15 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Blue Jays | 45c | 265,555$119,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,055.25 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 45c | 256,869$116,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,619.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blue Jays | 45c | 254,460$114,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,953 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Mariners | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,999.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 173,268$77,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,490.79 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 150,075$67,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,516.14 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 37c | 126,774$47,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,316.28 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mariners | 55c | 122,191$66,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,842.29 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 45c | 99,523$44,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,737.41 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 90,000$40,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,500 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 52c | 89,989$46,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,305.97 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 45c | 79,546$35,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,750.25 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 46c | 62,229$28,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,781.31 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Blue Jays | 45c | 49,715$22,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,343.42 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Blue Jays | 67c | 49,508$33,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,398.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Mariners | 54c | 45,000$24,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,449.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 56c | 42,217$23,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,641.48 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 41,230$20,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,034.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Mariners | 55c | 41,000$22,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 40,556$18,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,306.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mariners | 62c | 40,235$25,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,136.69 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Mariners | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Blue Jays | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.96 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 39c | 31,785$12,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,361.99 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 63c | 26,142$16,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,397.66 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jays | 53c | 25,048$13,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,836.15 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Blue Jays | 46c | 22,443$10,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,119.48 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Mariners | 55c | 20,461$11,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,253.5 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mariners | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Mariners | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe716…e111backed Mariners | 55c | 17,904$9,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,847.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab91…7ea5backed Blue Jays | 46c | 17,717$8,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,567.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mariners | 5c | 13,709$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.68 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 2c | 13,455$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.85 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Mariners | 56c | 13,305$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Blue Jays | 46c | 13,041$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,042.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 12,369$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…2e94backed Blue Jays | 46c | 11,600$5,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 70c | 11,350$7,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.72 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…d481backed Blue Jays | 46c | 10,800$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +201%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays | 45c | 10,456$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750.8 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…82e0backed Mariners | 55c | 10,300$5,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Blue Jays | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Mariners | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…283abacked Mariners | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Mariners | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jays | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.99 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.97 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.89 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 11c | 9,741$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.05 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…6208backed Mariners | 55c | 9,488$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 9,032$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.13 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners | 7c | 8,630$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…0dbfbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 8,483$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 45c | 8,199$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.65 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Mariners | 55c | 6,364$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Mariners | 55c | 6,364$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 0c | 6,298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…6b31backed Blue Jays | 45c | 5,800$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 5,666$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.86 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners | 54c | 5,576$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.93 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…e5edbacked Mariners | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 55c | 5,340$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Mariners | 55c | 5,273$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Blue Jays | 46c | 5,163$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.95 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jays | 46c | 5,046$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.07 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Blue Jays | 45c | 5,023$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blue Jays | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed Mariners | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Mariners | 18c | 5,000$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…90bfbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,999$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce5…660ebacked Mariners | 55c | 4,920$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 1c | 4,784$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…81cebacked Blue Jays | 45c | 4,700$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mariners | 55c | 4,693$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.16 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 4,685$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.7 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,540$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.6 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Blue Jays | 44c | 4,495$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.93 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 45c | 4,471$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.05 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Blue Jays | 45c | 4,432$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…9eb1backed Mariners | 56c | 4,200$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Blue Jays | 45c | 4,112$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed Blue Jays | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 1c | 3,836$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…034ebacked Mariners | 11c | 3,823$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 3,777$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.71 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 46c | 3,712$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…4cc5backed Mariners | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Blue Jays | 45c | 3,690$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 45c | 3,671$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 3,666$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.64 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Marinersthis page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.