NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d73d1ea65978ed06a55aaf4553827880dcc7cab5cba334de3341518fe8e4514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Dolphins, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,327,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,002,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,327,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dolphins | 43c | 843,224$366,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366,668.52 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Browns | 56c | 638,750$359,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279,344.07 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Browns | 57c | 353,476$201,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,994.7 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Dolphins | 43c | 63,246$27,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,195.63 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dolphins | 37c | 57,070$21,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,278.03 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Dolphins | 43c | 56,539$24,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,311.71 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 49c | 50,290$24,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,418.6 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Browns | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.96 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Browns | 54c | 39,659$21,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,164.33 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Dolphins | 3c | 38,025$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.23 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Dolphins | 41c | 21,454$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.48 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Dolphins | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Browns | 56c | 18,000$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.99 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Browns | 56c | 17,850$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,854 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Browns | 56c | 15,264$8,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.6 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Browns | 59c | 15,179$8,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.71 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Dolphins | 45c | 14,962$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.9 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dolphins | 43c | 13,977$6,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.31 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dolphins | 41c | 13,957$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.8 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Browns | 61c | 13,819$8,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.56 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Dolphins | 43c | 13,327$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.53 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Dolphins | 43c | 11,000$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Browns | 58c | 10,790$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dolphins | 44c | 10,236$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.98 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Browns | 57c | 9,440$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.2 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Browns | 62c | 9,088$5,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.5 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Dolphins | 44c | 8,888$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.72 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Browns | 59c | 8,815$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.91 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Dolphins | 44c | 7,822$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.57 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Browns | 58c | 7,759$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Dolphins | 43c | 7,751$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Dolphins | 2c | 7,700$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Dolphins | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Dolphins | 43c | 6,777$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.84 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dolphins | 28c | 6,173$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.11 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Browns | 56c | 6,100$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns | 55c | 6,053$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.74 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Browns | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Browns | 56c | 5,850$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Browns | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…ca83backed Browns | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Browns | 58c | 4,595$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.9 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3628…0409backed Dolphins | 45c | 4,434$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dolphins | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Dolphins | 41c | 3,658$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.78 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Browns | 57c | 3,391$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.05 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Dolphins | 43c | 3,348$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.64 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Browns | 71c | 3,269$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.53 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Dolphins | 41c | 3,030$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.17 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dolphins | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Browns | 56c | 2,660$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Dolphins | 44c | 2,562$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.45 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dolphins | 42c | 2,506$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.65 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Browns | 57c | 2,500$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.97 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Browns | 63c | 2,468$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.87 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Browns | 56c | 2,268$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Dolphins | 43c | 2,250$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Dolphins | 44c | 2,231$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.75 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dolphins | 24c | 2,035$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Browns | 56c | 2,021$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.35 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Browns | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…e5f3backed Dolphins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Browns | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Browns | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Browns | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Browns | 65c | 1,900$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dolphins | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.95 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…5ac7backed Dolphins | 41c | 1,751$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…a9c3backed Browns | 57c | 1,743$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Dolphins | 41c | 1,713$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.91 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Dolphins | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Dolphins | 44c | 1,555$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins | 43c | 1,537$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.88 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dolphins | 1c | 1,454$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 58c | 1,384$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.01 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Browns | 56c | 1,362$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.28 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Browns | 56c | 1,337$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.43 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Browns | 57c | 1,326$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.57 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Browns | 54c | 1,311$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.64 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Dolphins | 1c | 1,305$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Dolphins | 42c | 1,304$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.16 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dolphins | 2c | 1,295$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dolphins | 43c | 1,257$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Browns | 60c | 1,252$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Browns | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Browns | 56c | 1,205$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.07 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…2c5abacked Dolphins | 12c | 1,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Browns | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Browns | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Dolphins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…29e1backed Browns | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Dolphins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.09 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Browns | 57c | 1,000$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Dolphins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Browns | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Browns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Dolphins | 42c | 999.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.87 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dolphins | 44c | 986.39$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.68 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Browns | 57c | 974$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.87 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Browns | 58c | 973$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dolphins vs. Brownsthis page
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 34.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 35.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 36.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 37.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 38.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 39.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 40.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 41.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Browns (-1.5)Browns won
- Spread: Browns (-2.5)Browns won
- Spread: Browns (-3.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.