TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof 76ers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,509,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,660,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,509,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pelicans40c374,999$150,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224,999.3743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed 76ers60c175,000$105,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,00023257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans40c159,603$63,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,451.022,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers60c134,747$81,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,124.512,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked 76ers61c131,342$80,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,118.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Pelicans32c105,182$34,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,020.043135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans39c89,999$35,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,899.5287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fc…099dbacked 76ers60c73,000$43,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,869.91250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked 76ers61c68,790$42,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,130.7710746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed 76ers58c64,221$37,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,246.1451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers60c63,928$38,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,320.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans41c54,267$21,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,288.381,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans41c50,000$20,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,499.9738253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed 76ers59c49,999$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,499.6919653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed 76ers60c46,541$27,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,924.66657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Pelicans41c45,351$18,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,778.6827247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed 76ers59c34,190$20,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,172.2614450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d3…2b34backed 76ers66c32,459$21,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,448.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans39c32,051$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,551.191,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers9c30,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans39c26,892$10,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,404.2343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked 76ers73c25,557$18,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,762.7312251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pelicans39c23,821$9,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,530.8130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pelicans40c23,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,80037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans40c21,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,60020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Pelicans40c20,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,10019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans39c19,700$7,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0171,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans36c19,222$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,312.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Pelicans40c18,888$7,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,427.0915952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans60c18,793$11,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,444.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers54c17,978$9,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,724.671,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed 76ers63c17,522$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00052760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed 76ers59c15,937$9,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,413.212147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans36c15,900$5,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,132.833,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers37c15,880$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.891,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers54c15,146$8,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,161.441,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked 76ers60c15,009$9,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,005.431445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers20c15,000$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.3277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers60c14,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,40054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Pelicans40c14,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.9813249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked 76ers60c14,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.978052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d60…649fbacked Pelicans40c13,950$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3702343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pelicans39c13,935$5,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,500.628649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans38c13,246$4,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,260.911,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b06…fbf1backed 76ers61c13,115$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x430e…51f0backed 76ers38c13,037$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.5170%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3934…8352backed 76ers59c12,936$7,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,632.163658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde27…5cb1backed 76ers0c12,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172020%4 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans39c11,743$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,168.511,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans40c11,189$4,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,713.231,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked 76ers61c10,693$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.562652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6863…79fbbacked 76ers75c10,600$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.30per pick76cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed 76ers61c10,333$6,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30326949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pelicans39c10,207$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,226.1329055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pelicans41c9,772$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,748.5935547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Pelicans40c9,500$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70010035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed 76ers60c9,500$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7009758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed 76ers73c9,413$6,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,866.616459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers42c9,055$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,810.311,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336f…3ae1backed 76ers59c8,600$5,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,074966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed 76ers60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers60c8,112$4,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,860.631,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6d…7a56backed 76ers1c8,065$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.051145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pelicans40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pelicans29c8,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.9832039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd008…9171backed Pelicans41c7,805$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,604.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x307f…2c81backed 76ers60c7,800$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,680666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked 76ers62c7,692$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.5851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers60c7,441$4,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,463.12,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers60c7,397$4,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,411.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers58c7,310$4,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.183,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6977…99cbbacked Pelicans40c7,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bba…10a7backed Pelicans41c6,600$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8942934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 76ers1c6,350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed 76ers60c6,298$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.8636351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e36…5dddbacked Pelicans41c6,100$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5992075%15 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Pelicans41c6,098$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.5617241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers59c6,003$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.8772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed 76ers38c6,000$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26013339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 76ers60c5,859$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.1945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked 76ers61c5,697$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,474.9913959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed 76ers59c5,635$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,324.496848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed 76ers51c5,232$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.6524151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed 76ers53c5,136$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722.0721944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pelicans39c5,134$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.8435450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked 76ers61c5,060$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.619150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked 76ers60c5,005$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0036023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked 76ers60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Pelicans40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5815…a7c8backed Pelicans40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed 76ers60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked 76ers60c4,940$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96419958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87de…75dbbacked 76ers61c4,918$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked 76ers61c4,918$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked 76ers60c4,731$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,853.8716863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 76ers66c4,313$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.6489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x552b…9394backed Pelicans40c4,300$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pelicans40c4,238$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.3229250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked 76ers60c4,160$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49613142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.