NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d30bec07d3af417c3b971f7ea2ae7b01a4df557a7be5db86aeea86f5ff70e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 56c | 17,981$10,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,956 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 17,302$7,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,862.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 12,460$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,856.2 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 6,048$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 48c | 3,450$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.99 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 1,942$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Under | 46c | 1,444$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 1,025$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,018$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 488.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 381.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 223.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 53c | 125.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 47c | 101.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 87.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 47c | 82.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 54c | 72.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 71.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 69.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 60.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 67c | 47.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 47.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 52c | 41.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 31.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 51c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…ae58backed Under | 47c | 26.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 21.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…4605backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…c920backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- 76ers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.