NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d5aead084bdd29135e13660c28088a9dc2f57967d85008beff474372804b8d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 53c | 23,442$12,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,044.71 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 45c | 11,320$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.99 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 55c | 9,810$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.5 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 6,934$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 5,205$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 4,290$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,635$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 1,258$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 908.5$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.91 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 10c | 790.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 607.31$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 505.66$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 493$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 432$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 380.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 348.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 45c | 226$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 49c | 157.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 117.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 116.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 45c | 116.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 99.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 99.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 83.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 45c | 81.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 60.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 47c | 57.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 42c | 32.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 76c | 27.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 49c | 22.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 50c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…c377backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -14.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5this page
- 76ers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.