TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof 76ers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans54c78,661$42,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,210.652,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers46c65,000$29,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,899.9529650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers46c14,349$6,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,657.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans54c13,880$7,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,385.0138253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1175…7f33backed Pelicans51c13,600$6,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6643100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6f…cf73backed Pelicans54c13,489$7,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,203.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45ff…2360backed 76ers46c13,139$6,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,043.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers47c13,014$6,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,085.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed 76ers47c9,447$4,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.4751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans53c8,203$4,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,855.461,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked 76ers46c6,779$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.3451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed 76ers47c5,439$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.2542648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers60c5,013$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.481,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans53c4,773$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.351,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb0…7635backed 76ers49c4,703$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans53c4,500$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09548054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3762…6f3dbacked 76ers49c4,497$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522d…3913backed Pelicans38c4,486$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans54c4,409$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Pelicans54c4,387$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.93050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans53c3,995$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.651,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1d…1f2ebacked 76ers49c3,950$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked 76ers47c3,519$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6543070%21 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans46c3,301$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed 76ers47c2,447$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1505463%34 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans54c2,190$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.723,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pelicans53c1,850$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.2533146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed 76ers46c1,769$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.7458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers47c1,543$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.022,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers51c1,503$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers48c1,405$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pelicans54c1,365$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.3267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed 76ers47c1,340$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked 76ers46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked 76ers47c1,140$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53351146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Pelicans52c1,092$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.222437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers50c990$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4991,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed 76ers49c878.35$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.093043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Pelicans49c855.35$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7321142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers51c796.49$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers47c701.44$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.316,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans53c700$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans51c586.31$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.295,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pelicans53c499.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers47c491.75$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.393,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed 76ers47c480.76$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pelicans53c476$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.721,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers47c466.58$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Pelicans53c426.74$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5710657.5%61 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Pelicans52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+36.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Pelicans52c335.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0819348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed 76ers47c326$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2212642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4dd…3f0fbacked 76ers50c305.68$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers48c300.52$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.492,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Pelicans54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed 76ers53c284.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e93…0078backed 76ers18c260.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.353324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed 76ers49c256$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans54c242.56$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers47c237.46$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed 76ers48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pelicans55c209.43$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.431,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Pelicans43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11526339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans52c193.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7381845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pelicans53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers47c186.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.274,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers51c183.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.893,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers47c167$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.641,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204e…55eabacked 76ers46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698552.9%45 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9bd…173fbacked Pelicans54c134.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a4…e48dbacked 76ers49c134.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Pelicans54c133.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1218250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans51c133.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed 76ers53c123.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…ff9cbacked 76ers47c122.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.672020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed 76ers47c114$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed 76ers48c112.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.611,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a8…f871backed Pelicans55c101.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4651651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked 76ers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked 76ers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Pelicans54c91.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.928456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Pelicans55c84.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.148852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans52c80.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.461,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed 76ers51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers46c77.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.851,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 76ers46c74.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.361,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Pelicans55c74.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pelicans54c71.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed 76ers49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pelicans35c70.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.491,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 76ers50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.