NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed354bbbf979484063ef1eff440ec134c8eb55aa6ab070045adde5296624ae19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 51,671$27,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,285.22 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 19,333$8,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,858.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 10,818$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 8,196$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 6,927$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.69 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 55c | 5,363$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.47 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 45c | 2,973$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.72 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 2,967$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,429$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 1,445$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 1,081$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 47c | 867.62$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.78 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 764.05$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.18 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 368.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Over | 61c | 301.01$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 47c | 294.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 44c | 259$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 43c | 224$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Under | 54c | 215.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Under | 47c | 198.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 55c | 159.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 46c | 158.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 52c | 148$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…9339backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 47c | 79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 76.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Under | 47c | 75.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 38c | 59.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 54.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…1ebbbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 57c | 22.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 47c | 22.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…8ee0backed Under | 47c | 21.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Under | 55c | 18.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5this page
- 76ers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.