NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b8e13b6a5e73a2afd05cb521a967cfffb09a62aa6dd7ab2f46827e2d0df8624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 34,277$17,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,453.54 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,579$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 6,471$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 5,304$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.69 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 48c | 3,704$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 3,245$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.68 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,019$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,232$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.55 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed Under | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.58 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 57c | 978.62$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.54 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 734.43$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 710$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 657.4$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Under | 45c | 432.22$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 413$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 408.02$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 304$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 229.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 45c | 202.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 153.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 47c | 149$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 43c | 142.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 41c | 121.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 119.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 41c | 119.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 68c | 118.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 47c | 114.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 109.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 39c | 85.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 55c | 68.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 55c | 52.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 55c | 46.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 59c | 41.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 49c | 41.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…f8e1backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1da3backed Under | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 26.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…d832backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5this page
- 76ers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.