TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,399.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c27,705$14,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,129.461,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over49c22,549$11,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,500.1929650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over49c17,740$8,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,977.5824045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,649.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over49c14,989$7,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,644.5338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c13,045$6,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,641.6648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c11,058$5,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,115.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.0826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c9,914$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over50c9,467$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,736.4716547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c7,481$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.311,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Over54c6,481$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.242045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c5,122$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.4548546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over54c4,957$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.761,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c3,680$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.221,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over50c2,899$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c2,268$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c2,142$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.783,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c2,059$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.092,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,662$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.33,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under51c1,494$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.8824050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,469$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff1…49cebacked Under51c1,430$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7353956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over57c922.09$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.262,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Over49c780$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.14151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c725.58$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over50c680$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34013951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Under27c451.89$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.77334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c444.9$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.938946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over53c433$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under46c211.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0823850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10253951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c194.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Over54c166.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6756352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under45c166.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.973,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c110.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0412152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under51c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4723946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over48c94.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over57c89.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over59c84.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.514254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under13c84.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under49c76.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1938347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4310350.5%52 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over56c66.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.551,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010955%60 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under52c55.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8335843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x278d…9800backed Over53c51.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Under76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over50c45.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8452246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under48c44.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2816052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a93…36babacked Under73c43.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324454.5%24 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Over64c41.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0510856.5%61 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under63c34.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e93…0078backed Under45c31.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.153324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c30.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.337959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b0…df5abacked Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e74…2c1dbacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…9a3abacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…df3fbacked Over76c29.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c29.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over54c28.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2917844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb0…e845backed Under52c27.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.468451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under54c24.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4716867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c24.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.561,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c21.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.593,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…d8f4backed Under70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over74c14.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6515662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.