NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52e0afae7f2b65d611ec172526900d604c17312b9b7afa7ec8344e22d8a1261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 576.42$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 68c | 441.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 55c | 298.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 243.75$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 32c | 239.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 39c | 214.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 57c | 207.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Over | 59c | 169.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 169.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 47c | 142.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 92.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 59c | 85.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 41c | 69.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 68c | 66.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…c377backed Under | 24c | 56.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…34d8backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 30c | 42.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 74c | 40.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 40.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 33.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 61c | 31.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 54c | 29.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 25.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…dd4dbacked Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Over | 60c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 60c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5this page
- 76ers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.