NFL · resolved market

Raiders vs. Chiefs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175d2d3a8a5f2e97517a4197b1e7fba3d498022683bdb0f06dec63611bda746a

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Chiefsof Raiders, Chiefs
Resolved: Oct 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,685,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,633,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,685,622 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Raiders	15c	941,146$139,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139,319.93	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Raiders	15c	938,922$136,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136,852.84	111	45.9%51 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Raiders	13c	165,644$21,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,518.35	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Raiders	12c	137,285$16,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,474.16	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Raiders	13c	130,000$16,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,899.98	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raiders	12c	81,023$10,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,016.24	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Raiders	13c	80,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,400	100	26%26 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raiders	12c	66,699$8,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,003.87	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ef…5232backed Raiders	13c	61,538$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Raiders	12c	60,201$7,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,426.18	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Raiders	12c	30,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.99	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Raiders	13c	20,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Raiders	12c	20,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.99	104	34.6%36 W · 68 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Raiders	14c	15,000$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Raiders	13c	13,700$1,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,811.68	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Raiders	12c	12,500$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Raiders	12c	12,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Raiders	13c	11,813$1,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.64	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…1ae8backed Raiders	0c	10,990$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	55cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Raiders	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Raiders	12c	8,660$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Raiders	12c	8,500$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e08…a130backed Raiders	5c	6,188$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Raiders	13c	6,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Raiders	13c	6,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	265	47.2%125 W · 140 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa099…94febacked Raiders	13c	5,385$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaae6…a85cbacked Raiders	13c	4,300$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Raiders	0c	4,281$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.79	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Raiders	13c	3,846$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.97	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e64…fd77backed Raiders	15c	3,600$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Raiders	15c	3,333$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	131	45.8%60 W · 71 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Raiders	14c	2,857$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Raiders	14c	2,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	150	44.7%67 W · 83 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Raiders	13c	2,378$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.18	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5027…40afbacked Raiders	13c	2,210$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	27cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Raiders	14c	2,143$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	126	34.1%43 W · 83 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7439…d028backed Raiders	14c	2,143$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Raiders	13c	2,100$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	276	33.3%92 W · 184 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c65…5915backed Raiders	13c	2,050$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8c…7831backed Raiders	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Raiders	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Raiders	13c	1,958$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Raiders	1c	1,895$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raiders	15c	1,877$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.48	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked Raiders	1c	1,803$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Raiders	18c	1,686$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raiders	7c	1,677$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.54	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a95…4a2bbacked Raiders	14c	1,600$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Raiders	13c	1,555$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.59	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Raiders	13c	1,532$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.85	138	42%58 W · 80 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Raiders	16c	1,500$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Raiders	14c	1,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	392	42.6%167 W · 225 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Raiders	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Raiders	16c	1,500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d9…ca67backed Raiders	2c	1,400$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc341…6298backed Raiders	13c	1,200$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Raiders	13c	1,200$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+30%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd72…935bbacked Raiders	13c	1,154$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…c6c7backed Raiders	5c	1,126$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raiders	1c	1,103$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.24	106	24.5%26 W · 80 L	-12.6wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Raiders	12c	1,074$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	363	41.9%152 W · 211 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Raiders	2c	1,032$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.02	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Raiders	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Raiders	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	187	44.9%84 W · 103 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63af…0a25backed Raiders	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Raiders	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	196	38.8%76 W · 120 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Raiders	14c	999.99$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.23	144	43.8%63 W · 81 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Raiders	12c	999$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.88	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Raiders	16c	908.33$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.95	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x751d…29e1backed Raiders	13c	884.62$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raiders	15c	789.87$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.48	130	40%52 W · 78 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfeb…620bbacked Raiders	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf7…5a4bbacked Raiders	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Raiders	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…0be3backed Raiders	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-7.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Raiders	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf00a…04b0backed Raiders	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Raiders	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Raiders	15c	709.2$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.08	368	26.9%99 W · 269 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Raiders	15c	680$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Raiders	10c	653.52$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc981…a75dbacked Raiders	9c	641.03$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x720a…6869backed Raiders	15c	609.6$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Raiders	13c	605.92$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.77	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Raiders	15c	600$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x111c…2ac5backed Raiders	13c	600$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+35%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa33f…9701backed Raiders	13c	538.46$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	62	69.4%43 W · 19 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe01…6097backed Raiders	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Raiders	17c	521$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.17	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Raiders	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Raiders	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	207	33.8%70 W · 137 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Raiders	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Raiders	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…839bbacked Raiders	6c	497.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa015…aa0abacked Raiders	13c	461.54$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772e…a7eebacked Raiders	14c	428.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Raiders	13c	418.18$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb250…a199backed Raiders	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…eb54backed Raiders	13c	400$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x686a…7deabacked Raiders	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raiders vs. Chiefs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event