TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd7e…0be3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST5724.6%14 W · 43 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.4
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.3
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$252
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Browns vs. Patriotsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$346.5
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Saints vs. Bearsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$54.29
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.5%+$75.54
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked PHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledobacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
UConn vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
West Virginia vs. UCFbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oklahoma vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Army vs. Tulanebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Illinois vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$50.35
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53%+$26.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serhou Guirassy score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.