NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe482c99fb10f73773c9784687f4e91a9086fbe07556246dcae310fc096cf124d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Timberwolves, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 59c | 47,666$28,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,641.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Timberwolves | 37c | 30,000$11,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,238.46 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…7fa9backed Timberwolves | 38c | 15,200$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 10,048$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,472.14 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Knicks | 62c | 7,897$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.77 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks | 62c | 7,826$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.89 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Knicks | 61c | 4,919$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.17 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Knicks | 61c | 4,702$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Knicks | 63c | 4,436$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.92 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Knicks | 65c | 4,289$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.36 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Knicks | 63c | 4,213$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.42 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Knicks | 64c | 3,407$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…45b0backed Timberwolves | 39c | 3,225$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,604$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.29 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 44c | 2,559$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 59c | 2,487$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.24 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,946$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Timberwolves | 34c | 1,943$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,343$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,288$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 1,258$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.95 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…2fd6backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,160$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.46 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Knicks | 61c | 1,080$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks | 59c | 1,072$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.59 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 48c | 1,004$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.67 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks | 55c | 876.15$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.27 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Knicks | 60c | 867.98$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.19 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Knicks | 64c | 745$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.47 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Knicks | 63c | 734.69$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Knicks | 60c | 719.37$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.75 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 61c | 698.89$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 3c | 565$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Knicks | 61c | 553.85$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.26 | 241 | 66.4%160 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Timberwolves | 38c | 547.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Timberwolves | 5c | 533.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Knicks | 31c | 500$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Knicks | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Timberwolves | 20c | 442.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Timberwolves | 38c | 407.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…42fcbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Knicks | 51c | 389.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Knicks | 29c | 350.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.79 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Knicks | 38c | 342.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.71 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Knicks | 64c | 310.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Timberwolves | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Timberwolves | 50c | 294.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.27 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 62c | 273$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 72c | 271.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.13 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Knicks | 62c | 261$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 230.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 216.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Knicks | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…0a83backed Knicks | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…d785backed Timberwolves | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Timberwolves | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Timberwolves | 40c | 182.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Knicks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…2cfdbacked Knicks | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Knicks | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 165.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Knicks | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Timberwolves | 36c | 161$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Knicks | 64c | 161$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Timberwolves | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Knicks | 65c | 153.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Knicks | 45c | 152.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Knicks | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 140.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Timberwolves | 12c | 132.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Timberwolves | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965a…a0c9backed Timberwolves | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…3372backed Knicks | 63c | 122.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…c12bbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 41c | 118.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…81a8backed Knicks | 61c | 113.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…45fbbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Timberwolves | 39c | 107.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Timberwolves | 40c | 103.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…6b12backed Timberwolves | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Knicks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3678…d0a5backed Knicks | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…1ae8backed Timberwolves | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…84fabacked Knicks | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…aefabacked Timberwolves | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Timberwolves | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Knicks | 71c | 99.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Knicks | 63c | 98.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Knicks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Knicks | 33c | 94.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Timberwolves | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Knicks | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…6914backed Timberwolves | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 64c | 77.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…e29dbacked Knicks | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Timberwolves | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 37c | 63.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Knicksthis page
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Timberwolves vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.