NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bea4d9c3beb6aa6df1abfe5d96b832a226220a90c0a3e1556cac7c6020edee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 628 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 76ers | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Magic | 76c | 5,179$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.34 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Magic | 65c | 4,205$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked 76ers | 34c | 3,600$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic | 66c | 3,337$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.43 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed 76ers | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Magic | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed 76ers | 35c | 2,889$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked 76ers | 1c | 2,693$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked 76ers | 38c | 2,487$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked 76ers | 20c | 2,348$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…45b0backed 76ers | 37c | 2,041$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 69c | 1,934$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.31 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Magic | 62c | 1,682$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed 76ers | 38c | 1,680$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 76ers | 36c | 1,566$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Magic | 70c | 1,517$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.72 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 35c | 1,509$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.46 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 64c | 1,415$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.53 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Magic | 67c | 1,356$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.96 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked 76ers | 35c | 1,200$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.31 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed 76ers | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed 76ers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 65c | 955.53$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 69c | 916.3$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed 76ers | 23c | 878.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Magic | 66c | 777.27$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.27 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed 76ers | 38c | 650.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed 76ers | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…3372backed 76ers | 39c | 564.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed 76ers | 3c | 550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Magic | 62c | 499.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.71 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Magic | 74c | 495.74$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Magic | 64c | 487.5$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 76ers | 34c | 485.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked 76ers | 24c | 483.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…bc55backed Magic | 66c | 474.73$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked 76ers | 39c | 441.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked 76ers | 34c | 435.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…a1b3backed 76ers | 33c | 421.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…dc3cbacked Magic | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…7e26backed 76ers | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed 76ers | 36c | 399.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…4676backed Magic | 68c | 364.86$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 63c | 350.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Magic | 74c | 344$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed 76ers | 40c | 332.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 77c | 306$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed 76ers | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed 76ers | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 76ers | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Magic | 60c | 284.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…4535backed 76ers | 33c | 283$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…9081backed Magic | 63c | 282$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…9863backed 76ers | 42c | 273.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed 76ers | 35c | 270.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…7f37backed 76ers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed 76ers | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked 76ers | 35c | 237.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Magic | 66c | 228.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 75c | 224$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked 76ers | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…3576backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…54a8backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4fbdbacked 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…c687backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…2764backed Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked 76ers | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…ea58backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…de45backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…55f2backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…e23fbacked 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…8141backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…5e30backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…7100backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…63b9backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11aa…c28fbacked 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aac…7fa5backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…07e4backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…860bbacked 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…fb18backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…109ebacked Magic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adc…8e02backed 76ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. 76ersthis page
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.