NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x069957a272f561a776dd4bdc0b10c88810d7a4c47d9c8bfa134e2c83984f2ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pistons, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 43c | 19,352$8,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,031 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 57c | 18,053$10,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,289.67 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Pistons | 0c | 15,593$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Pistons | 61c | 9,683$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.71 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Bucks | 39c | 7,692$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.31 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…e584backed Bucks | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons | 74c | 4,769$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.29 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 43c | 4,490$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.77 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 57c | 3,228$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.91 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Bucks | 37c | 2,710$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.6 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bucks | 43c | 2,525$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.7 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pistons | 60c | 2,432$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.66 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pistons | 57c | 2,100$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pistons | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 36c | 1,750$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…45b0backed Bucks | 36c | 1,489$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 1c | 1,422$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Bucks | 77c | 1,391$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 43c | 1,352$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bucks | 42c | 1,200$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.84 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 63c | 1,126$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bucks | 31c | 1,038$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bucks | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks | 21c | 936.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.04 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons | 61c | 875.25$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.47 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 46c | 723.58$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Bucks | 35c | 640.67$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.67 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Pistons | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pistons | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Pistons | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed Bucks | 40c | 600$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Bucks | 39c | 514.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Pistons | 59c | 507.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bucks | 40c | 504.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.88 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Bucks | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Bucks | 39c | 435.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Bucks | 36c | 416.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Bucks | 36c | 397.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pistons | 65c | 384.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Pistons | 45c | 377.22$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Pistons | 54c | 369.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Bucks | 15c | 323$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.55 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Pistons | 58c | 308.29$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Pistons | 54c | 305$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Bucks | 42c | 302.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Bucks | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Pistons | 64c | 271.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…05bdbacked Bucks | 36c | 263.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Bucks | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bucks | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…b0d5backed Bucks | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bb5ebacked Pistons | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bucks | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 66c | 232.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Pistons | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Pistons | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Bucks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 62c | 199.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pistons | 54c | 199.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Pistons | 74c | 198.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Bucks | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Bucks | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Pistons | 68c | 160.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…2cfdbacked Pistons | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Pistons | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bucks | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…66f1backed Bucks | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…33aebacked Pistons | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Pistons | 67c | 149.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Bucks | 38c | 143.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Pistons | 54c | 133.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Bucks | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…7b88backed Bucks | 33c | 127.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bucks | 46c | 127.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…7e1cbacked Pistons | 68c | 124.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Pistons | 24c | 123.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pistons | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Bucks | 33c | 120.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…4720backed Pistons | 69c | 116.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Bucks | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…42e8backed Pistons | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pistons | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bucks | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c26…0900backed Bucks | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bucks | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Bucks | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…a530backed Pistons | 38c | 86.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Pistons | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Bucks | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Pistons | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 241 | 66.4%160 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Bucks | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Bucks | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96eb…307cbacked Bucks | 39c | 69.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…86ddbacked Pistons | 62c | 68.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…6914backed Bucks | 40c | 63.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Bucks | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bucks | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…e535backed Pistons | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Bucksthis page
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.