TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ec6…a530

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.23
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.89
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,313.47
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$456.75
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$370.1
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$51.29
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$191.88
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$559.82
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$380.87
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$51.38
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.2
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.45
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$233.14
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$101.85
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$253.61
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$120.22
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$67.2
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.84
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$27.2
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.91
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.05
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.59
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.31
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.5
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$328
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$543.15
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$176
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+120.2%+$147.29
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.7
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.37
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$61.63
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.9
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+134.4%+$430
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+150%+$162
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.8
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$230.35
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.2
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$45.31
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$60.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.