Music · resolved market
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac668145450c97698032df41289265cc1eab25bc5f42c4d4809922ea7db39f3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…2657backed Yes | 44c | 15,946$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,006.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 27c | 14,568$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,641 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe1…46d0backed No | 53c | 10,096$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…bb11backed No | 5c | 10,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…9dcdbacked Yes | 65c | 7,906$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 28c | 7,707$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.08 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 40c | 7,019$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…8f26backed No | 61c | 5,746$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 9c | 5,614$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.54 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 23c | 5,482$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 22c | 5,405$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed No | 59c | 3,612$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…a986backed Yes | 47c | 3,154$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 48c | 2,967$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.61 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 33c | 2,316$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,269$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…bdafbacked Yes | 67c | 2,152$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Yes | 75c | 2,137$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,127$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +2,956.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…a433backed Yes | 53c | 2,074$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 49c | 1,978$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 12c | 1,741$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,623$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 25c | 1,611$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +152%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 65c | 1,549$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked Yes | 49c | 1,456$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…b1dbbacked Yes | 52c | 1,414$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,305$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 58c | 1,125$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 2c | 1,120$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.76 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 1,079$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Yes | 64c | 1,073$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 2c | 1,018$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +701.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,007$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed No | 25c | 1,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 67c | 944.33$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 54c | 935.19$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed No | 55c | 920.62$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…766cbacked Yes | 3c | 858.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +959.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked No | 50c | 800$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed No | 57c | 800$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…1c10backed No | 38c | 782.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…8c1bbacked Yes | 64c | 776.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 28c | 753.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…f190backed Yes | 50c | 750$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 42c | 719.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 49c | 680$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f32…74aabacked Yes | 75c | 661.6$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…5535backed Yes | 47c | 643.63$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…ee73backed No | 49c | 607.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 33c | 600$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 52c | 574.06$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…de7fbacked Yes | 50c | 572.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 37c | 543.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ce16backed No | 66c | 530.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 38c | 500$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…6dbabacked Yes | 74c | 486.17$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked Yes | 13c | 485.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.79 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…9949backed No | 63c | 480$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 479.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 66c | 469.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 55c | 425$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde20…fb9fbacked Yes | 46c | 423.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…a58ebacked Yes | 52c | 387.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 8c | 385.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 52c | 369$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked No | 42c | 321.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…5061backed No | 59c | 320.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…8433backed No | 37c | 316.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…ec06backed No | 60c | 297.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0a…4775backed Yes | 70c | 287.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…2366backed Yes | 63c | 280.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Yes | 80c | 251.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 46c | 250$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed Yes | 43c | 230.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944d…049abacked Yes | 73c | 227.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 29c | 225.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 62c | 225$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cf…132abacked Yes | 43c | 222.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…5c18backed No | 38c | 201.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…3076backed Yes | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…cd71backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…aa45backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked No | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +1,685.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…c2e3backed Yes | 75c | 199.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32d…02c2backed Yes | 73c | 199.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Yes | 77c | 191.79$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 43c | 187.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…a3f4backed No | 76c | 184.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed Yes | 44c | 184.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…85a8backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 26c | 176.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?this page
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3250000 and 3500000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.