Music · resolved market
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ed322902fbad68dd6205197526e839e28bc9bc09172c9689d2686775225340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 24c | 6,487$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 6c | 5,351$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…bb11backed Yes | 4c | 4,808$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Yes | 24c | 3,992$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…9dcdbacked Yes | 40c | 3,228$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,037$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,927$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 47c | 1,922$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,815$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,600$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 3c | 1,530$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked Yes | 45c | 1,300$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ce16backed No | 68c | 1,244$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 53c | 1,233$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 15c | 1,160$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 2c | 1,061$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +701.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 36c | 969.83$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…7729backed Yes | 29c | 779.72$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 728.07$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 726.87$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…8433backed Yes | 28c | 721.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 31c | 697.38$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc32d…02c2backed Yes | 43c | 655.21$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 19c | 622.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…8c1bbacked Yes | 54c | 606.1$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 50c | 600$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.38 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 55c | 500.07$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Yes | 21c | 450$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…a433backed Yes | 45c | 448.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 54c | 447.89$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked Yes | 8c | 397.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Yes | 49c | 362.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…fe06backed Yes | 60c | 330.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 33c | 317.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 276.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 50c | 276.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…f01abacked Yes | 13c | 267.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 18c | 259.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…5a42backed Yes | 49c | 258.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…d2f8backed Yes | 56c | 251.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 37c | 242.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 32c | 229$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 49c | 212.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +152%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ff…f475backed Yes | 58c | 204.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…3076backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…cd71backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 37c | 195.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…aa31backed Yes | 21c | 186.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 22c | 173.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…166fbacked Yes | 37c | 162.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 59c | 158.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…b1dbbacked Yes | 40c | 143.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 24c | 135$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…70d7backed No | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…688bbacked Yes | 17c | 130.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked No | 47c | 125.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 26c | 121$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 115.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…ebe1backed Yes | 44c | 113.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…2aeabacked Yes | 23c | 110.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…a530backed Yes | 37c | 105.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c18…2fb9backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…65c4backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…7abebacked Yes | 20c | 99.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 89.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 19c | 83.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…23e7backed Yes | 25c | 80.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…fb45backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…27a7backed Yes | 42c | 74.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde20…fb9fbacked Yes | 55c | 72.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6541backed Yes | 57c | 72.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…cbe3backed Yes | 32c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0517…933abacked Yes | 46c | 68.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Yes | 56c | 68.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…a73fbacked Yes | 37c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 49c | 65.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Yes | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed Yes | 51c | 63.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…2c34backed Yes | 38c | 62.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…fc62backed Yes | 56c | 61.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…057dbacked Yes | 24c | 55.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 78c | 54.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a7…a0b0backed No | 50c | 54.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…9800backed No | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed Yes | 39c | 51.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 40c | 51.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd214…e7a0backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…5cc1backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?this page
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?Yes won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3250000 and 3500000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?No won
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.