TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2a6…1b6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Golf at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT4320.9%9 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$96
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$80.06
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+275.8%+$49.65
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62.1
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+541.9%+$80.21
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$181.36
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.2%+$23.75
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 28m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+146.8%+$36.69
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$47.8
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+111%+$103.44
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.67
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Lotus (Little Simz) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Lotus (Little Simz) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.8
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+254.1%+$540.62
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+200%+$20
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.