Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bbf8b80264663622b8d5c21f97460686dc1de2593982588f90960f9e7f6ce9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9951…11bdbacked Yes | 48c | 34,338$16,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,993.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 70c | 32,353$22,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,542.03 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 17c | 30,927$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375.17 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 51c | 18,576$9,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,183.47 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 34c | 15,090$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,889.97 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…358abacked No | 4c | 14,859$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 70c | 12,917$9,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.18 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 72c | 11,500$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 41c | 9,908$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.71 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…9b5fbacked No | 3c | 8,119$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 27c | 6,509$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,736.2 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 45c | 6,107$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 29c | 5,281$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.75 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 9c | 5,185$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.23 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…062abacked Yes | 46c | 3,975$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 10c | 3,330$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.55 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…b8adbacked No | 3c | 3,220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 18c | 2,923$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.18 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 78c | 2,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 17c | 2,258$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.94 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 29c | 2,226$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.33 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 61c | 2,145$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 53c | 2,099$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.65 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 77c | 2,067$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.58 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 19c | 1,963$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.95 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 21c | 1,950$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.51 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa189…a2d5backed Yes | 75c | 1,760$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 21c | 1,423$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 52c | 1,223$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.36 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 10c | 1,209$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.02 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 29c | 1,209$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.26 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 74c | 1,205$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…c2d6backed No | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 49c | 1,109$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 9c | 1,085$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 13c | 1,067$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed No | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 28c | 978.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…8cccbacked No | 5c | 968.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 44c | 901.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.1 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 72c | 900$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 62c | 898.97$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.52 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 815.59$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.38 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 67c | 790.68$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.48 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…7195backed No | 53c | 774.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…279fbacked Yes | 20c | 704.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…e140backed No | 3c | 683.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 14c | 667.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 48c | 631.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 35c | 590.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.9 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 21c | 567.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.18 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed No | 14c | 557$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 68c | 530.81$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.31 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 19c | 512.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…9371backed No | 78c | 505$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 47c | 500$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked No | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…09f1backed No | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…c12abacked No | 10c | 459.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 53c | 438.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…76a7backed No | 14c | 430.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 6c | 424.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 33c | 417.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 410$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…6c89backed No | 12c | 407.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…5b42backed No | 74c | 404.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff13…6d35backed No | 34c | 390.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 40c | 389.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 21c | 371$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 362.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.81 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 3c | 355.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9d…6703backed Yes | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 18c | 349.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Yes | 77c | 340.52$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 11c | 329$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.81 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked Yes | 15c | 319.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…309abacked Yes | 61c | 315.6$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…add3backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 39c | 294.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 44c | 293$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 64c | 291.73$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…2a44backed Yes | 80c | 284.17$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 63c | 275.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 48c | 271.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…93efbacked No | 31c | 257.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 16c | 255.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 8c | 254.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 19c | 252.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 20c | 250.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5686…fed5backed No | 4c | 244.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed No | 23c | 242.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…d87fbacked Yes | 78c | 240.06$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…06dbbacked Yes | 25c | 235.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.