Movies · resolved market
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x521352160c8a60cbb466ecb31a3bedd908a1d2fa45eadda9dfb98fb266b259b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 7c | 10,659$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.92 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed Yes | 10c | 9,365$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.09 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 69c | 7,546$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.37 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…c539backed Yes | 6c | 7,022$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 8c | 5,158$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…2a91backed Yes | 2c | 4,856$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 4,308$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,284$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 19c | 3,464$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.96 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 25c | 3,444$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…2bdcbacked Yes | 7c | 3,363$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,222$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…02dfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,206$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 38c | 2,104$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.34 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,080$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 5c | 2,001$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…b11fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,873$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,852$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 6c | 1,653$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 22c | 1,568$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.18 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 4c | 1,563$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,520$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes | 8c | 1,474$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 2c | 1,472$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 6c | 1,456$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 10c | 1,444$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 10c | 1,429$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…7e5bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,355$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.9wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -60%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,332$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,315$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,276$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.91 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…ffa9backed Yes | 15c | 1,238$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,185$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.88 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,155$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.19 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 7c | 1,127$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 1,123$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,070$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.16 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 23c | 1,057$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,014$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,001$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Yes | 6c | 850.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 6c | 792.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…71f0backed Yes | 65c | 766.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 14c | 714$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 18c | 600$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 10c | 585.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…28a1backed Yes | 7c | 578.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 16c | 575.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Yes | 12c | 571.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 544.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…f0e6backed Yes | 3c | 544.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed No | 38c | 522.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.68 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…8958backed Yes | 7c | 514.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 4c | 469.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 13c | 445.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 40c | 445.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…6a6ebacked Yes | 7c | 442.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…fcf5backed Yes | 12c | 428.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed Yes | 8c | 394.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 388.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 53c | 385.72$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 40c | 368.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…3442backed Yes | 10c | 360$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…97bdbacked Yes | 18c | 351.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 348.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 11c | 347$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed Yes | 5c | 344.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 332.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…a036backed Yes | 7c | 318.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 11c | 312.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 7c | 305.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 8c | 300.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec9…cb78backed Yes | 5c | 293.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 10c | 290.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c05…11a8backed Yes | 7c | 260.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…1eccbacked Yes | 6c | 254.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c5…0064backed Yes | 16c | 247$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 8c | 242.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 21c | 239.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 14c | 236.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 235.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…e8b8backed Yes | 6c | 234.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 7c | 223.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1a4dbacked Yes | 9c | 215.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…3b1bbacked Yes | 7c | 213.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f5…8423backed Yes | 10c | 210.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 48c | 208.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…3b5ebacked Yes | 10c | 208.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…45aabacked Yes | 7c | 201.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes | 12c | 200.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…9a00backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?this page
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?Yes won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.