TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x056f…e487

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT12030%36 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.81
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$13.49
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.01
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$15.15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$54.12
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$24.39
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.45
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.63
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.72
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+410.7%+$227.36
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.13
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$117.93
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$6.76
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.09
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.39
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$18.16
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$9.9
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$87.19
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$152.12
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.69
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$85.48
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.16
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.99
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+534.9%+$54.07
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+189.8%+$54.74
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.27
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.53
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.08
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bryant Bulldogs vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$138.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.