Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9efb82bed7ae1b052d77745acf8fb989163ecec6b335fe37e30df06dab674a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 62c | 1,795$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.51 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,224$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.07 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 23c | 1,183$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 48c | 819.31$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.34 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7da2backed No | 28c | 325.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed No | 33c | 309.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…449cbacked No | 13c | 267$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 22c | 264.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 78c | 241.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 73c | 187.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…6c16backed No | 31c | 182.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 13c | 132$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…e86ebacked No | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 37c | 90.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 73c | 79.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51d0…ce35backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 57c | 69.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 75c | 49.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 47.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 28c | 42.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf220…ed17backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…1760backed Yes | 67c | 39.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 67c | 31.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…8d30backed Yes | 75c | 29.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 26.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 59c | 20.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked No | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.